Daily Metal and Energy Outlook 11th April
BULLION – Bullion counter may witness some profit booking at higher levels. Gold on Thursday hovered near a two-week peak touched in the previous session, as the dollar struggled after the U.S. Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank signaled steady interest rates amid a slowing global economy. The dollar held near two-week lows as Fed minutes reinforced dovish policy expectations while the pound held recent ranges after European leaders extended the deadline for Britain to leave the union, averting a no-deal Brexit. The Fed is likely to leave interest rates unchanged this year given risks to the U.S. economy from a global slowdown and uncertainty over trade policies and financial conditions, according to the minutes from its March 19-20 policy meeting. U.S. consumer prices increased by the most in 14 months in March, but the underlying inflation trend remained benign amid slowing domestic and global economic growth. European Union leaders agreed to grant British Prime Minister Theresa May a new Brexit deadline of Oct. 31, officials said, after French President Emmanuel Macron opposed efforts to give her another year.
ENERGY- Crude oil may trade lower as oil prices fell on Thursday after U.S. crude stockpiles surged to their highest levels in almost 17 months amid record production. U.S. crude inventories rose 7 million barrels to 456.6 million barrels in the last week, their highest since November 2017, the Energy Information Administration said on Wednesday. U.S. crude oil production EIA remained at a record 12.2 million barrels per day (bpd), making the United States the world biggest oil producer ahead of Russia and Saudi Arabia. Despite this growth in U.S. supply, global oil markets remain tight amid supply cuts led by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), U.S. sanctions on oil exporters Iran and Venezuela, and escalating fighting in Libya. Venezuela oil output sank to a new long-term low last month due to U.S. sanctions and blackouts, with production plunging to 960,000 bpd in March, a drop of almost 500,000 bpd from February. U.S. natural gas futures gained less than a penny on Wednesday as declining output offset forecasts for cooler weather and less heating demand next week.
BASE METAL – Base metals prices may trade with negative bias. London copper on Thursday was almost unchanged, as support from progressing U.S.-China trade talks was countered by rising supply and concerns about a global slowdown. Copper stockpiles in warehouses monitored by the Shanghai Futures Exchange stayed at 257,320 tonnes by the end of last week, up from around 100,000 tonnes at the beginning of this year. Chinese miner MMG Ltd has sent some supplies and personnel to its copper mine Las Bambas after protesters in Peru partially suspended their two-month road blockades, a company source said on Wednesday. Chile Codelco, the world biggest copper producer, is set to shell out $40 billion in 10 years to overhaul its century-old Chuquicamata and El Teniente mines.
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