Daily Metal and Energy Outlook 22 May 2019
BULLION – Bullion counter may trade with sideways bias as gold steadied on Wednesday after falling to a more than two-week low in the previous session, as a stronger dollar dented demand for bullion ahead of the release of minutes from the U.S. Federal Reserve latest meeting. The dollar hovered near a four-week high on Wednesday, supported by higher U.S. yields, which rose overnight after the United States eased trade restrictions on Chinese telecommunications equipment maker Huawei Technologies Co Ltd . Chinese Ambassador to the United States Cui Tiankai said on Tuesday that Beijing was ready to resume trade talks with Washington, but blamed the U.S. side for frequently changing its mind on tentative deals to end U.S.-China trade disputes. Meanwhile, the Fed minutes are expected to provide insights into the May 1 central bank meeting in which policymakers decided to keep interest rates steady and signalled little appetite to adjust them any time soon.
ENERGY- Crude oil may remain subdued as oil prices fell on Wednesday after industry data showed an increase in U.S. crude inventories and as Saudi Arabia pledged to keep markets balanced. The American Petroleum Institute(API) said on Tuesday that U.S. crude stockpiles rose by 2.4 million barrels last week, to 480.2 million barrels, compared with analysts’ expectations for a decrease of 599,000 barrels. Official data from the U.S Energy Information Administration’s oil stockpiles report is due later on Wednesday. Outside the United States, Saudi Arabia on Wednesday said it was committed to a balanced and sustainable oil market. Saudi Arabia has been at the forefront of supply cuts led by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), of which the kingdom is the de-facto leader, which started in January and are aimed at reducing global oversupply that emerged in 2018. U.S. natural gas futures on Tuesday fell from a five-week high in the previous session on forecasts for output to increase and demand to decline as the amount of gas flowing to liquefied natural gas (LNG) export terminals drops.
BASE METAL – Base metals may witness some lower level buying. London copper prices edged higher in early Asian trade on Wednesday, as a new blockade at MMG Ltd’s Las Bambas mine in Peru lent support to prices, although gains were capped by ongoing U.S.-China trade tensions. An earlier road blockade at the site by an indigenous community in March and April disrupted the mine’s copper concentrate exports and boosted copper prices. An indigenous Peruvian community has imposed a new road blockade on MMG Ltd’s Las Bambas mine, one of Peru’s largest copper producers, after talks with the company over compensation broke down, a representative of the public ombudsman office said on Tuesday. LME aluminium was down 0.1% at $1,795 a tonne after posting its lowest close since January 2017 on Tuesday. ShFE aluminium fell for a third day, slipping as much as 0.9% to 14,135 yuan, its lowest since May 10.
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