Bullion counter may witness some bounce back at lower levels as the dollar edged lower against major currencies following the U.S. retail sales data and a rally in the pound. U.S. retail sales rose 0.2 in January, surprising economists who had expected an unchanged result. Gold can take support near 31700 and can recover towards 32100. Silver can take support near 38000 and can recover towards 38700. Prime Minister Theresa May won legally binding Brexit assurances from the European Union on Monday in a last ditch attempt to sway rebellious British lawmakers who have threatened to vote down the deal again. Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell said the U.S. central bank does “not feel any hurry” to change the level of interest rates again as it watches how a slowing global economy affects local conditions in the U.S.
Base metals prices may trade with positive bias. London base metal prices rose across the board in early Asian trade on Tuesday, supported by a weaker dollar and tracking stock markets higher after the European Commission agreed to changes in a Brexit deal. Copper may take support near 445 and can recover towards 458 in MCX. China’s automobile sales fell 13.8 percent year-onyear in February, marking the eighth consecutive month of decline in the world’s largest auto market. Zinc can take support near 192 while facing resistance near 195. The global zinc market deficit narrowed to 28,000 tonnes in January from a revised deficit of 62,400 tonnes in December, data from the International Lead and Zinc Study Group (ILZSG) showed. Lead can move in range of 143-146. Nickel can also test 920 while taking support near 900. Aluminum prices may trade in range of 142-144. Queues to take aluminium out of LME-approved warehouses owned by ISTIM UK in Port Klang, Malaysia rose to 229 days in February from 118 days in January and zero days in December.
Crude oil may open on positive note as oil prices rose on Tuesday, lifted by output cuts led by producer group OPEC as well as healthy demand, and although analysts said economic headwinds posed downside risks to crude markets. Venezuela’s opposition-run congress on Monday declared a “state of alarm” over a five-day power blackout that has crippled the country’s oil exports and left millions of citizens scrambling to find food and water. The United States will drive global oil supply growth over the next five years, adding another 4 million barrels per day (bpd) to the country’s already booming output, the International Energy Agency said on Monday. U.S. crude oil output will rise nearly 2.8 million bpd, growing to 13.7 million bpd in 2024 from an average of just under 11 million bpd in 2018, the IEA said, making the United States by far the biggest oil producer in the world. Natural gas may remain sideways as it can take support near 192 while taking facing resistance near 196 in MCX. U.S. natural gas futures fell to a two-week low on Monday on forecasts for the weather to turn warmer over the next two weeks than previously expected. Meteorologists now project temperatures will remain near normal through late March. Last week, they were forecasting seasonal weather this week and cooler than normal temperatures next week.
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