And it is finally out! Donald Trump battled a bitter political combat and has been elected as the 45th President of the earth’s oldest democracy. As far as India is concerned, past experiences show that a Republican US President usually proves to be better for us than a Democrat one.However, in recent times, Indo-US relations have widely stuck to a firm, steady path commencing with Democrat Bill Clinton to Republican Gorge Bush to Democrat Barack Obama. And now as we all know by the roaring vocal cords of feminists that Donald Trump has ascended the throne of the largest economy of the world – Unites States.
How will India benefit from it?
• Indian entrepreneurs and students: Albeit Trump wants to put immigration rules which are sterner in nature, he also states that he wishes to woo Indian entrepreneurs and students to the United States.
• China and Pakistan: Trump’s criticism on China throughout his campaign. He described it as one of the top adversaries of the United States. That could make for a benefit to India.He stated that he would label China as a manipulator of currency and impose heavy duties if China did not agree to rewrite the trade agreements.He labeled Pakistan as semi-stable and a safe refuge for terrorists.This could translate into the continuation of US’ Pivot to Asia policy where we, Indians are seen as a counterbalance to China.
• Terrorism: Donald Trump’s strict stance on terrorism could also culminate in deeper Indo-US defense and strategic ties.And closer defense ties finally, may give a further push to Indo-US business ties.
What will India lose?
o Trump’s double standard towards India:Trump is often seen exhibiting double standard towards India.On one hand, he said that India was doing great and on the other he stated that he would bring American jobs back from the Indian subcontinent.This could mean harsher conditions for entry of Indian immigrants into America.
o H1B visa Programme: Donald Trump terms H1B visa programme as ‘unfair’ and wants to end the programme. Indian IT stocks and IT companies like TCS and Infosys (NS:INFY) are likely to be the first victims of this policy.
o America First: His hawkish trade policy of ‘America first’ and Trump’s plans to renegotiate all foreign trade deals shall also impact trade treaties with India.
o Make in India:Trump’s promise to bring down the US corporate tax rate from 35% to 15% could culminate in companies such as Ford,Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) and GM rushing back to US.This will hit Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s ‘Make in India’ push.
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